4-11-2025:  According to the observations at 05:30 hrs MST today, the low pressure area over the Eastcentral Bay and adjoining near Deltic coast, Myanmar has moved North-Northwestwards and now lies over the Eastcentral Bay and adjoining Northeast Bay of Bengal and off and along Rakhine coasts and adjoining Deltic coasts. It is likely continue to move North-Northwestwards and may reach over Northeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining  off and along Rakhine coasts, Myanmar and coastal area of Bangladesh on 5-11-2025. Weather is cloudy over the Eastcentral Bay of Bengal and  Northeast Bay and a few cloud to partly cloudy over the Andaman Sea and elsewhere over the Bay of Bengal.

General Weather Forecast for 2018 Rainy Season

General Weather Forecast for 2018 Rainy Season

Onset and withdrawal of Southwest Monsoon

Southwest monsoon is likely to set into the whole country on first (10) days of June, 2018. Southwest monsoon is likely to retreat from the whole country first (10) days of October, 2018.

Early Monsoon Period Forecast

The early monsoon period is establishment of Southwest Monsoon over Myanmar to the end of June. Three Low Pressure Areas may form over the Bay of Bengal and two may further intensify into the Depressions. During the early monsoon period, monsoon will be moderate to strong. Rain will be expected  above normal rain in Bago, Yangon and Ayeyarwady Regions, Rakhine and Mon States and about normal in Sagaing, Mandalay, Magway and Taninthayi  Regions, Kachin, Shan, Chin, Kayah and Kayin  States.

Peak  Monsoon Period Forecast

Mid Monsoon period is a period of starting from 1st July to the end of August. Three Low Pressure Areas may form over the Central and North Bay of Bengal and one may further intensify into the Depression. During the mid monsoon period, monsoon will be moderate to strong. Rain will be expected above normal rain in Chin and Rakhine States and about normal in Sagaing, Mandalay, Magway, Bago, Yangon, Ayeyarwady and Taninthayi  Regions, Kachin, Shan, Kayah , Kayin  and Mon States.

Late Monsoon Period Forecast

Late Monsoon period is a period starting from 1st September to the date of Monsoon withdrawal from the whole country. Two Low Pressure Areas may form over the Bay of Bengal and one may further intensify into the Depression. During the late monsoon period, monsoon will be weak to moderate.

Rain will be expected about normal rain in in Sagaing, Mandalay, Magway, Bago, Yangon, Ayeyarwady and Taninthayi Regions, Kachin, Shan, Chin, Rakhine, Kayah, Kayin and Mon States.