(Issued at 4:00 pm Wednesday 15th October, 2025)
BAYINFERENCE: Weather is a few cloud over the Northeast Bay and partly cloudy over the Eastcentral Bay of Bengal. Monsoon is weak over the Andaman Sea and elsewhere over the Bay of Bengal.
FORECAST VALID UNTIL MORNING OF THE 16th October 2025: Rain or thundershowers will be isolated in Upper Sagaing Regions and Kachin, Northern Shan States, scattered in Mandalay, Magway, Lower Sagaing Region and Rakhine States, fairly widespread in Naypyitaw, Yangon Region and Kayah, Kayin States and widespread in the remaining Regions and States. Degree of certainty is 100%.
THE CONDITION OF CUMULONIMBUS CLOUD: The Cumulonimbus clouds are developing in Naypyitaw, Mandalay, Bago, Magway, Sagaing, Ayeyarwady, Taninthayi Regions, Kayah, Kayin, Chin, Mon, Rakhine and Shan States. The area along the Cumulonimbus clouds movement, the weather phenomena such as strong winds accompanied with rain, thunder, lightning and hail may occur and therefore it is recommended to be aware in advance these phenomena.
STATE OF THE SEA: Sea will be slight to moderate in Myanmar waters. Wave height will be about 4-6 feet off and along Myanmar Coasts.
OUTLOOK FOR SUBSEQUENT TWO DAYS: Likelihood of withdrawal of southwest monsoon from the Southern Myanmar areas.
FORECAST FOR NAYPYITAW AND NEIGHBOURING AREA FOR 16th October 2025: One or two rain or thundershowers. Degree of certainty is 100%.FORECAST FOR YANGON AND NEIGHBOURING AREA FOR 16th October 2025: Isolated rain or thundershowers. Degree of certainty is 100%.
FORECAST FOR MANDALAY AND NEIGHBOURING AREA FOR 16th October 2025: Isolated rain or thundershowers. Degree of certainty is 80%.