(Issued at 4:00 pm Monday 27th October, 2025)
BAY INFERENCE: According to the observations at 15:30 hrs MST today, the Cyclonic Storm “MONTHA” over the Southwest Bay and adjoining Westcentral Bay of Bengal has moved Northwestwards and still persists. It is centered at about 530 Nautical miles West-Southwest of Coco Island (Myanmar), 240 Nautical miles East of Chennai(India), 260 Nautical miles Southeast of Kakinada (India). It is likely to move North-Northwestwards and intensify into Severe Cyclonic Storm on 28-10-2025 and cross Andhra Pradesh Coast on that night.Weather is a few cloud to partly cloudy over the Andaman Sea, North Bay and Eastcentral Bay and cloudy elsewhere over the Bay of Bengal.
FORECAST VALID UNTIL MORNING OF THE 28th October 2025:. Rain or thundershowers will be farily widespread in Taninthayi Region, scattered in Yangon, Bago, Ayeyarwady Regions and Kayin, Mon, Rakhine States and isolated in the remaining Regions and States. Degree of certainty is 100%.
THE CONDITION OF CUMULONIMBUS CLOUD: The Cumulonimbus clouds are developing in Ayeyarwady and Taninthayi Regions. The area along the Cumulonimbus clouds movement, the weather phenomena such as strong winds accompanied with rain, thunder, lightning and hail may occur and therefore it is recommended to be aware in advance these phenomena.
STATE OF THE SEA: Squalls with rough seas are likely at times in Deltaic, off and along Rakhine Coasts. Surface wind speed in squall may reach 30-35 mph. Wave height will be about 9-11 feet in Deltaic, off and along Rakhine Coasts. Sea will be moderate elsewhere in Myanmar waters. Wave height will be about 6-8 feet in Gulf of Mottama, off and along Mon-Taninthayi Coasts.
OUTLOOK FOR SUBSEQUENT TWO DAYS: Likelihood of scattered to fairly widespread rain or thundershowers in Taninthayi Region and Kayin, Mon States.FORECAST FOR NAYPYITAW AND NEIGHBOURING AREA FOR 28th October 2025: Isolated rain or thundershowers. Degree of certainty is 80%.
FORECAST FOR YANGON AND NEIGHBOURING AREA FOR 28th October 2025: Isolated rain or thundershowers. Degree of certainty is 80%.
FORECAST FOR MANDALAY AND NEIGHBOURING AREA FOR 28th October 2025: Isolated rain or thundershowers. Degree of certainty is 100%.