(Issued at 7:00 Am Tuesday 28th October, 2025)
BAY INFERENCE: According to the observations at 05:30 hrs MST today, the Cyclonic Storm “MONTHA” over the Southwest Bay and adjoining Westcentral Bay of Bengal has moved North-Northwestwards and reached over the Westcentral Bay of Bengal still persists. It is centered at about 585 Nautical miles West of Coco Island (Myanmar), 195 Nautical miles East-Northeast of Chennai(India), 160 Nautical miles South-Southeast of Kakinada (India). It is likely continue to move North-Northwestwards and intensify into Severe Cyclonic Storm during next 6 hours and cross Andhra Pradesh Coast during next 24 hours. Weather is Cloudy over the West central Bay of Bengal, a few cloud to partly cloudy Andaman Sea and lsewhere over the Bay of Bengal.
FORECAST VALID UNTIL EVENING OF THE 28th October 2025:. Rain or thundershowers will be farily widespread in Ayeyarwady, Taninthayi Regions, Mond and Rakhine States and scattered in Yangon, Bago Regions and Kayah, Kayin States and isolated in the remaining Regions and States. Degree of certainty is 100%.
STATE OF THE SEA: Squalls with rough seas are likely at times in Deltaic, off and along Rakhine Coasts. Surface wind speed in squall may reach 30-35 mph. Wave height will be about 9-11 feet in Deltaic, off and along Rakhine Coasts. Sea will be moderate elsewhere in Myanmar waters. Wave height will be about 6-8 feet in Gulf of Mottama, off and along Mon-Taninthayi Coasts.
OUTLOOK FOR SUBSEQUENT TWO DAYS: Likelihood of scattered to fairly widespread rain or thundershowers in Taninthayi Region and Kayin, Mon States.FORECAST FOR NAYPYITAW AND NEIGHBOURING AREA FOR 28th October 2025: Isolated rain or thundershowers. Degree of certainty is 60%.
FORECAST FOR YANGON AND NEIGHBOURING AREA FOR 28th October 2025: Isolated rain or thundershowers. Degree of certainty is 80%.
FORECAST FOR MANDALAY AND NEIGHBOURING AREA FOR 28th October 2025: Isolated rain or thundershowers. Degree of certainty is 60%.