(Issued at 7:00 pm Saturday 25th October, 2025)
BAY INFERENCE: According to the observations at 15:30 hrs MST today, the Well Marked Low Pressure Area over Southeast Bay of Bengal has moved Westwards and further intensified into a depression. It is centered at about 330 Nautical miles Southwest of Coco Island (Myanmar), 530 Nautical miles East-Southeast of Chennai(India), 540 Nautical miles Southeast of Kakinada (India). It is likely to move West-Northwestwards and may intensify into a deep depression on 26-10-2025 and Cyclonic Storm may form over the Southwest Bay and adjoining over Westcentral Bay of Bengal on 27-10-2025. Weather is a few cloud over the North Bay and Eastcentral Bay, partly cloudy over the North Andaman Sea and cloudy over the South Andaman Sea and elsewhere over the Bay of Bengal.
FORECAST VALID UNTIL NOON OF THE 26th October 2025: Rain or thundershowers will be fairly widespread in Taninthayi Region, scattered in Kachin State and isolated in Naypyitaw, Yangon, Mandalay, Bago, Magway, Upper Sagaing, Ayeyarwady Regions and Chin, Mon, Rakhine, (Northern and Southern) Shan States. Weather will be partly cloudy in the remaining Regions and States. Degree of certainty is 100%.
THE CONDITION OF CUMULONIMBUS CLOUD: The Cumulonimbus clouds are developing in Taninthayi Region and Chin, Rakhine States. The area along the Cumulonimbus clouds movement, the weather phenomena such as strong winds accompanied with rain, thunder, lightning and hail may occur and therefore it is recommended to be aware in advance these phenomena.
STATE OF THE SEA: Squalls with moderate to rough seas are likely at times in Deltaic, Gulf of Mottama, off and along Mon-Taninthayi Coasts. Surface wind speed in squalls may reach 25-30 mph. Wave height will be about 7-9 feet in Deltaic, Gulf of Mottama, off and along Mon-Taninthayi Coasts. Sea will be slight to moderate elsewhere in Myanmar waters. Wave height will be about 4-6 feet in off and along Rakhine Coast.
OUTLOOK FOR SUBSEQUENT TWO DAYS: Likelihood of scattered to fairlywidespread rain or thundershowers in Taninthayi Region.FORECAST FOR NAYPYITAW AND NEIGHBOURING AREA FOR 26th October 2025: Likelihood of isolated rain or thundershowers. Degree of certainty is 60%.
FORECAST FOR YANGON AND NEIGHBOURING AREA FOR 26th October 2025: Likelihood of isolated rain or thundershowers. Degree of certainty is 60%.
FORECAST FOR MANDALAY AND NEIGHBOURING AREA FOR 26th October 2025: Partly cloudy.