(Issued at 4:00 pm Monday 17th November, 2025)
BAY INFERENCE: According to the observations at 15:30 hrs MST today, the low pressure area over the Southwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining Sri Lanka Coast still persists. It is likely to move slowly West-Northwestwards during the next 24 hours. Weather a few cloud over the North Bay and Eastcentral Bay and partly cloudy to cloudy over the Andaman Sea and elsewhere over the Bay of Bengal.
FORECAST VALID UNTIL MORNING OF THE 18th November 2025: Rain or thundershowers will be scattered in Taninthayi Region and Southern Shan State and isolated in Naypyitaw, Yangon, Bago, Ayeyarwady Regions and Kayah, Kayin, Mon, Eastern Shan States. Degree of certainty is 80%. Weather will be generally fair in Lower Sagaing Region and Rakhine State and partly cloudy in the remaining Regions and States.
THE CONDITION OF CUMULONIMBUS CLOUD: The Cumulonimbus clouds are developing in Taninthayi Region. The area along the Cumulonimbus clouds movement, the weather phenomena such as strong winds accompanied with rain, thunder, lightning and hail may occur and therefore it is recommended to be aware in advance these phenomena.
STATE OF THE SEA: Squalls with moderate to rough seas are likely at times in Deltaic, Gulf of Mottama, off and along Mon-Taninthayi Coasts. Surface wind speed in squall may reach 25-30 mph. Wave height will be about 7-9 feet in Deltaic, Gulf of Mottama, off and along Mon-Taninthayi Coasts. Sea will be moderate elsewhere in Myanmar waters. Wave height will be about 6-8 feet off and along Rakhine Coasts.
OUTLOOK FOR SUBSEQUENT TWO DAYS: Likelihood of isolated to scattered rain or thundershowers in Naypyitaw, Yangon, Mandalay, Bago, Magway, Ayeyarwady, Taninthayi Regions and Kayah, Kayin, Mon, Shan States.FORECAST FOR NAYPYITAW AND NEIGHBOURING AREA FOR 18th November 2025: Isolated rain or thundershowers. Degree of certainty is 80%.
FORECAST FOR YANGON AND NEIGHBOURING AREA FOR 18th November 2025: Likelihood of isolated rain or thundershowers. Degree of certainty is 60%.
FORECAST FOR MANDALAY AND NEIGHBOURING AREA FOR 18th November 2025: Generally fair weather.

